Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Step 1. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. Do you know the odds of being alive? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. Scripture says. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? That's 150,000 generations. So what's the probability of your being born? One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Onward to freedom! June 24, 2022 . He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com Part of HuffPost Wellness. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. On one try.. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Why? What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Borel's Law of Probability - Owlcation For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. chances of being born Archives - Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. This button displays the currently selected search type. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. And worry and fear? Thats a ridiculously huge number. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? Something was dropped and then picked up. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Are they gross exaggerations? By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? xx, Lets be social! Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Whoa. But let's think about this some more. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Step 1. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. This includes personalizing content and advertising. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. So what's the probability of your being born? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. I hope you use your chance well. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. One in 2,000. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Ali Binazir (Author of The Tao Of Dating) - Goodreads When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Opportunity - livebendy.com Now things start getting interesting. You get the volume of planet Earth. Step 3. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Thank you, Monsignor. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? June 5. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Then the probability of Mr. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Is that an African fly or a European one? So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born dr ali binazir odds of being born - sindicaturarosarito.gob.mx By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Please pass this post along. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2.